Thursday, December 30, 2010

Week 16 NFL BCS

What if the NFL used a ranking system like the NCAA, and next to each team name you saw their ranking just like college?  That's the scenario I've been trying to present the past two weeks, and here is the updated version.

This week the CPA rankings weren't up-to-date when I was calculating the BCS so I used the computer rankings from SportsNutz.com instead.

For a detailed explanation on how these BCS rankings are created please read the Week 14 article which also has a link to how the actual NCAA BCS rankings are calculated.  These are intended to replicate that calculation as closely as possible.

For the second straight week I have added a new column to the rankings which will show each teams result from the prior week.  This might help justify, or cause you to question, why a team moved so much or so little.


BCS Rank
Team
BCS Score
Up/Down
Week 16 Result
1
1.0000
0
W @ #29 Buf 34-3
2
2.6667
0
L vs. #6 NO 17-14
3
3.6667
+2
W vs. #32 Car 27-3
4
3.6667
0
W @ #25 Clev 20-10
5
5.6667
+2
W vs. #9 NYJ 38-34
6
5.8889
0
W @ #2 Atl 17-14
7
7.2222
-4
L vs. #24 Minn 24-14
8
8.3333
+3
W vs. #12 NYG 45-17
9
8.4444
-1
L @ #5 Chi 38-34
10
10.4444
+2
W vs. #18 Tenn 34-14
11
10.8889
+2
W @ #17 Oak 31-26
12
11.5556
-2
L @ GB 45-17
13
12.2222
-4
L @ #27 Cinc 34-20
14
13.6667
+1
W vs. #26 Sea 38-15
15
16.5556
-1
L vs. #21 Wash 20-17
16
16.6667
0
L vs. #22 Det 34-27
17
17.2222
+1
L vs. #11 Indy 31-26
18
18.8889
-1
L @ #10 KC 34-14
19
19.5556
+2
W vs. #28 SF 25-17
20
22.0000
0
L @ #30 Den 24-23
21
22.3333
+3
W @ #15 Jax 20-17
22
22.4444
+5
W @ #16 Mia 34-27
23
23.1111
-4
L @ #31 AZ 27-26
24
23.1111
+1
W @ #7 Phil 24-14
25
25.4444
-2
L vs. #4 Balt 20-10
26
26.1111
0
L @ #14 TB 38-15
27
26.6667
+2
W vs. #13 SD 34-20
28
27.1111
-6
L @ #19 Stl 25-17
29
27.2222
-1
L vs. #1 NE 34-3
30
27.3333
+1
W vs. #20 Hou 24-23
31
28.0000
-1
W vs. #23 Dal 27-26
32
32.0000
0
L @ #3 Pitt 27-3

No surprise that New England is still ranked #1, but I can honestly say that I am surprised that the #2 Atlanta Falcons didn't move at all after their home loss to #6 New Orleans Saints.  Then, on the flip side, I'm also very surprised New Orleans ranking didn't change.

Anyway, let's have a look at this week biggest movers:

#22 Detroit Lions (+5): After back-to-back road victories over #14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and #16 Miami Dolphins the Lions move up FIVE spots.  They deserve it.

#28 San Francisco 49ers (-6): In my opinion it was only a matter of time before they dropped this low.  When a team with no definite starting QB, and it's star RB is on injured reserve loses to #19 St. Louis Rams this move can only be expected.

#23 Dallas Cowboys(-4): Just when everybody started to think they were turning it around under new Head Coach Jason Garrett they go and lose to #31 Arizona Cardinals.

#13 San Diego Chargers (-4): Wow. I am definitely guilty of thinking the Chargers would win the AFC West because they were more talented than #10 Kansas City Chiefs.  Then they go an lose to #27 Cincinnati Bengals...I guess they just aren't that good this year.

#7 Philadelphia Eagles (-4): I don't know whether to blame it on the extra two day waiting period, or whether the #24 Minnesota Vikings were just a bad match-up, but for the Eagles to lose at home to Minnesota stands as the biggest surprise of the week.

Look forward to a preview of each Week 17 match-up in the coming days!

No comments:

Post a Comment